Aviation System Risks and Safety

Introduction.- Assessing the System Safety Using Reliability Theory and PSA Methods.- New Doctrine "Reliability, Risk, Safety" for System Safety (Flight Safety) Assessment on The Basis of the Fuzzy Sets Approach.- Solving the Rare Events Problem with the Fuzzy Sets Method.- Structure and Principles of Constructing the SMSs to Provide and Monitor System Safety Based on the RRS Risk Management Doctrine.- Algorithms and Methods for ATS Safety Monitoring and Assurance Using Methods for Calculating Risks in the RRS Doctrine.- Assessing Safety of Dual-Purpose Systems.- Conclusion.

Kuklev E.A., Professor, Doctor of Technical Sciences, was born in 1934; and graduated from the Kazan Aviation Institute (majoring in "aircraft construction"). He is an Honored Worker of the Higher School of Russia, Laureate of the commemorative medal of the Vietnamese People's Republic (2018) for his services in the preparation of scientific aviation personnel (candidates of Technical Sciences) and for the implementation of scientific and technical projects for civil aviation in Vietnam, Head of the Mechanics department of St. Petersburg State University, and Director of the Center for Expertise and Scientific Support of Projects in St. Petersburg State University. Earlier, he was the vice-rector for research in St. Petersburg State University of Civil Aviation. He is the author of more than 300 scientific papers and inventions in the aviation field, including those for development of air transport standards, with activity management standards for transportation of goods on the external load suspension of helicopters in the interaction of helicopter groups based on ICAO requirements. 

Shapkin V.S., Professor, Doctor of Technical Sciences, graduated from Moscow Institute of Civil Aviation Engineers (1984). He is a Laureate of the Russian Federation Government Prize in Science and Technology, an Honored Transport Worker of the Russian Federation, and Director General of FSUE State Research Institute of Civil Aviation (FSUE GosNII GA). He is also an Expert of the Federal Air Transport Agency, Federal Service on supervision in the sphere of transport of the Russian Ministry of Transport, and the Interstate Aviation Committee. His area of specialisation includes air transport and aircraft strength. He is also the author of more than 200 scientific works. 

Filippov V.L., Acting General Director of FSUE State Research Institute of Civil Aviation, Actual State Councillor of Russian Federation, graduated from Syzran Air Force Aviation School,