Probabilities (PDF)

Praise for the First Edition

"If there is anything you want to know, or remind
yourself, about probabilities, then look no further than this
comprehensive, yet wittily written and enjoyable, compendium of how
to apply probability calculations in real-world
situations."

- Keith Devlin, Stanford University, National Public
Radio's "Math Guy" and author of The Math
Gene and The Unfinished Game

From probable improbabilities to regular irregularities,
Probabilities: The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives, Second
Edition investigates the often surprising effects of risk and
chance in our lives. Featuring a timely update, the Second
Edition continues to be the go-to guidebook for an entertaining
presentation on the mathematics of chance and uncertainty.

The new edition develops the fundamental mathematics of probability
in a unique, clear, and informal way so readers with various levels
of experience with probability can understand the little numbers
found in everyday life. Illustrating the concepts of probability
through relevant and engaging real-world applications, the
Second Edition features numerous examples on weather
forecasts, DNA evidence, games and gambling, and medical testing.
The revised edition also includes:

* The application of probability in finance, such as option
pricing

* The introduction of branching processes and the extinction of
family names

* An extended discussion on opinion polls and Nate Silver's
election predictions

Probabilities: The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives, Second
Edition is an ideal reference for anyone who would like to
obtain a better understanding of the mathematics of chance, as well
as a useful supplementary textbook for students in any course
dealing with probability.