Improving Risk Analysis / International Series in Operations Research & Management Science Bd.185 (PDF)
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¿Improving Risk Analysis discusses and illustrates practical methods for assessing, communicating, and managing uncertain risks when the probabilities of consequences caused by alternative actions cannot be quantified with useful confidence, accuracy, and precision. This monograph demonstrates how to avoid these pitfalls by using improved techniques of risk analysis. Through these improved techniques of risk analysis, readers will better understand uncertain risks and be able to make more effective decisions about how to manage them.
The book is divided into three parts. Parts 1 and 2 explore the key principles on how high-quality risk analysis can greatly improve the clarity and effectiveness of decisions when the consequences of different choices are uncertain. Part 3 shows in greater detail how these introduced methods can be applied to health effects of air pollution, with emphasis on understanding and modeling causal relations between exposures and responses based on realistically limited and imperfect data. Throughout the book, real-world examples and case studies drawn from health, safety, environmental, and terrorism risk analysis are used and illustrate the practical application of techniques for improving risk analysis.
- Autor: Louis Anthony Cox Jr.
- 2013, 2013, 386 Seiten, Englisch
- Verlag: Springer-Verlag GmbH
- ISBN-10: 1461460581
- ISBN-13: 9781461460589
- Erscheinungsdatum: 03.02.2013
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“This book is well written, broad in scope, current in topics, concise, and includes many citations. To aid readers who might have been overwhelmed by the contents in the previous chapters, the conclusions in the last chapter summarize the author’s messages. These conclusions and recommendations contrast how risk analysis is often practiced today and how it could be practiced to be more credible and useful. I believe this book will be a good source of insight for practitioners and academia.” (Seong Dae Kim, Interfaces, Vol. 44 (6), November-December, 2014)
“This excellent book presents up-to-date material, various portions of which are sure to be of great interest to several distinct audiences. … The book is full of thorough but accessible examples and case studies with extensive references to the literature. … this is an important contribution to the literature in that it bridges the gap from theory to practice, includes many fields of application, and is accessible to a wide audience.” (Charles R. Hadlock, SIAM Review, Vol. 55 (4), 2013)
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